Can we predict materials that can be synthesised?

Bubbles , Can We Spot Them ? Crashes , Can We Predict Them ?

Johansen and Sornette proposes that the crash has fundamentally an endogenous origin and exogenous shocks only serve as triggering factors. This endogenous force is shown in price as power law log-periodicity (PLLP) signature prior to a crash. We estimate the highly nonlinear model developed by them using a hybrid approach which combines scatter search, genetic adaptor and tabu search. The mode...

Can we predict the unpredictable?

Time series forecasting is of fundamental importance for a variety of domains including the prediction of earthquakes, financial market prediction, and the prediction of epileptic seizures. We present an original approach that brings a novel perspective to the field of long-term time series forecasting. Nonlinear properties of a time series are evaluated and used for long-term predictions. We u...

Can we predict "problem residents"?

PURPOSE This study investigates whether data available at the time of residency application can be used to predict more accurately future problems of performance, both during and after residency. METHOD The authors identified all residents with reported problematic behavior across 20 years (1987-2007) at a single residency program and created a set of matched controls. Problems were further d...

Can we predict safety culture?

Safety culture is broadly recognized as important for Air Traffic Management and various studies have addressed its characterization and assessment. Nevertheless, relations between safety culture and formal and informal organizational structures and processes are yet not well understood. We aim to improve the understanding of these relations by agent-based organizational modeling and thus provi...

“Not Everything That Is Faced Can Be Changed, but Nothing Can Be Changed Until It Is Faced”: A Response to Recent Commentaries